Monthly Archives: April 2011

Man with funny accent covers 200 countries in 4 minutes.

I’m a chart nerd, whether its pie graphs, line graphs, bar graphs, or spiral wedge charts.


Fast Tube by Casper

Hans Rosling, a world-renowned Swedish statistician, uses animated bubble charts to depict the growth, wealth, and health of world populations over the last two hundred years.

If you want to watch the entire documentary, you can download the torrent here. Its fascinating.

Disappearance of the Paperboy


Above: One of my favorite video games from the 1990s.

Do you still receive a newspaper? If you do, and you’re up early enough to witness the delivery, you will find it is no longer delivered by a child on a bicycle.

The decline of the paperboy and the vocal street corner vendor follows the decline of circulation and the growth of suburban sprawl. In most cities you no longer see teenagers on bicycles at 4am flinging copies of the local post, nor will you see them on the street collecting quarters at busy intersections.

According to Time Magazine, 70% of papers were delivered by paperboys in 1990. The number fell to 13% by 2008.

Since the turn of the century, guys in minivans have been neatly placing newspapers in designated delivery boxes, and street salesmen have been replaced by strategically placed vending machines and stands.

I had a friend in middle school who delivered papers at 4am. The town (Spokane, Washington) was laid out in a grid, making it easy to move from street to street without having to cycle up and down a main drag to enter each subdivision. He always looked exhausted by 11am, but it was honest work that established an adult work routine at a young age.

Recently developed suburban neighborhoods place communities inside of association-managed enclaves with one or two main entrances, essentially a town within a town. Some larger neighborhoods even have their own gas stations and cafes. A wide main drag, often as wide as four lanes, strings these subdivisions together.

Below is a map of the west side of my town, Chesterfield, Missouri, an affluent suburb a half hour west of St Louis with large homes separated into distinct subdivisions. The curvature of a suburban street is intended to create a feeling of space, to aesthetically distinguish the green suburban environment from tight-grid city layouts.

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If a paperboy headed west down Wild Horse Creek Road, the main road at the top of the map marked in yellow, and had four customers, numbered above in light blue, he would find himself cycling ten miles attempting to cover an area only three miles wide. At a normal average cycling speed of 10mph (its a very hilly area), it would take nearly an hour to serve only four customers, requiring him to work well into lunch time to serve every subscriber.

With minimum wage and no fuel costs involved, paperboys have always been cost-efficient, but the configuration of modern upscale neighborhoods has rendered them time-inefficient.

In addition, long suburban avenues tend to have few crosswalks, stoplights, or any safe places for cyclists to ride or cross, posing a real danger to kids and teenagers moving around in the darkness before sunrise.

For motorists, layouts like the one above have a tendency to turn main drags into clogged arteries at rush hour, with cars funneling into primary roads, then funneling into the highway where they begin their crawl across town. However, unlike city streets, the traffic congestion tends to be limited only to main roads, leaving neighborhood interiors and cul de sacs quiet, much quieter than they would be in a city with standard blocks open to cars, delivery trucks, and buses. This configuration appeals strongly to parents of young children.

One could reasonably argue that newspaper delivery by minivan is environmentally unfriendly, inefficient, and expensive due to the rising cost of fuel. Its a moot point, however, as circulation continues to decline, replaced by news delivered on tablets and PCs.

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Source: Audit Bureau of Circulations, theawl.com

Electrons are practically free, requiring no lumber, pulp, bicycles, or vans to share information. It seems odd then that Democrats in congress are so interested in using taxpayer dollars to save America’s newspapers.

Change is a good thing. Embrace it.

http://www.theawl.com/2009/10/a-graphic-history-of-newspaper-circulation-over-the-last-two-decades

http://www.time.com/time/magazine/article/0,9171,2046070,00.html

http://www.howwedrive.com/2011/02/04/the-rise-and-fall-of-the-american-paperboy/

Saab Lives, For Now

A Lithuanian bank owned by Russian investor Vladimir Antonov intends to loan the Swedish automaker $48 million, enough to pay suppliers and continue production.

http://www.saabsunited.com/2011/04/weekend-loan-update.html

A recap of events over the weekend:

  • According to Lars Carlstrom in an interview with TTELA (english version),”Yes, (the NDO) have given the green light to Vladimir Antonov can lend money, but he wants to come in as a shareholder. And it’ll continue to negotiate on this issue over the weekend.” Vladimir Antonov himself and Victor Muller have been negotiating with representatives of government and Riskgälden since Friday.
  • According to Ola Kinnander at Bloomberg (a very trusted source of SU) , a source who didn’t wish to be identified since the talks are private indicated that the loan will come from Bankas Snoras in Lithuania (which is controlled by Vladimir Antonov). Lawyers are working on the loan deal today (Sunday April 10), which may be approved as early as tomorrow, two of Kinnander’s sources said.
  • Saab would likely borrow around 300 million kronor (€33.4 million) from Bankas Snoras, one of the people said, which will get production started ASAP. At the same time, Antonov and Spyker will wait for clearance to bring in Antonov from the EIB. Antonov is ready to invest at least €50 million in Saab, Lars Carlstrom said April 8, when he also said Antonov has agreed to cap his stake in Saab at 30 (29.9) percent.

The Best (and Worst) of Cardomain

Cardomain is a shrine to Gen-Y narcissism with shiny colors, awful photos, and strange characters. Like Myspace, most profiles have been abandoned and forgotten as people moved to the suburbs (Facebook), leaving behind an embarrassing time capsule of online idiocy.

The clever folks at VW Vortex compiled a list of Cardomain profiles with awful cars, attractive women, and a wide assortment of gangster-inclined douchebags and weirdos.

Some of the pictures may be somewhat unsafe for work.

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A tribute to the 90s?

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Capri Sun!

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Nice Stratus, Pat.

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SARS?

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It’s Ron Swanson!

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Some high-class dry heaving.

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An homage to Type II diabetes?

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[No clever caption needed.]

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I have a hard time imagining confederate troops being transported in a Nissan Quest.

You can see the rest at VW Vortex.

Weekly Wrap-Up – 9 April 2011

The week ending Saturday, 9 April 2011.

wpid-arrowup-2011-04-9-01-50.gif TexasMaximum speed limits increase to 85 mph.

wpid-arrowup-2011-04-9-01-501.gif ADM and The Corn Lobby – President Obama and some members of congress want all new cars in America to run on ethanol. Expect food prices to rise and fuel economy to fall.

wpid-arrowup-2011-04-9-01-502.gif Birmingham [UK] Employees of MG Motors – The Chinese-owned British automaker launches its first new car since 1995. It has doors. It has wheels. There’s an engine of some sort. Rumors speculate that it has an FM radio with a volume knob.

wpid-arrowdown-2011-04-9-01-50.gif Saab – Saab can’t play its suppliers. Production stops.

wpid-arrowdown-2011-04-9-01-501.gif Toyota shuts down production in the US to contend with parts shortages. Automakers worldwide are affected by Japanese production issues caused by the quake and tsunami.

wpid-arrowdown-2011-04-9-01-502.gif Subaru – The new Impreza shows Toyota’s influence. Subaru’s red blood turns beige.

wpid-arrowdown-2011-04-9-01-503.gif Drunk White Girls – Last week, one jumped out of her [moving] car and slammed into a tree. This week, one in Florida stripped down to her underwear in an attempt to throw off a police dog. Classy.

Saab has “weeks” to live

Saab production has been temporarily shut down pending renegotiations with unpaid suppliers. It is standard practice in the industry to build out vehicles and delay payments, but Saab is risky and unstable, with suppliers less willing to extend credit.

According to Alrik Söderlind at Auto Motor & Sport, Saab’s additional funding and ownership from Russian investor Vladimir Antonov is being held up by the Swedish government:

Saabs survival is a matter of weeks. The money must come now. Vladimir Antonov wants nothing more than to come in as a part-owner in SAAB, or to be correct: Spyker NV. The decision lies with the government. I called the finance ministers secretary Hans Lindblad, who works with the process, he hung up…

The faith of SAAB lies with the Government. We are not talking about loans or more guarantees. Its all about allowing Vladimir Antonov become a part owner. The process is running but if it takes too long it will be meaningless.

Thursday evening I called the finance minister Anders Borg’s secretary for a comment:
– How is the process proceeding?
– What problems does the government see with Antonov as part-owner?
– Is there anything else pointing against Antonov as part-ower?
– How serious is the situation?
– How long will it take?
– Does one realize that SAAB’s future is dependent on the result but also on the speed of the process?

But Hans Lindblad would not speak to me, all he wanted to know was from where I got his phone number… When he didn’t get that information the conversation was over.

I hope that the level of the discussions internally within the government is higher and they realize how serious this is. Is there any strong reasons for saying now to Antonov then of course the answer must be now but tell us which those reasons are. One has to do this with haste. The question regarding Antonov is nothing new, Antonov was denied partnership not by GM but by the Swedish Government and one went along with the Governments issue due to the fact that without the approval from the government SAAB would not be able to take part of the so important EIB Loans. It wasn’t GM who took the initiative to stop Antonov, it was the Governments requirement. The inquiry made by the Government about Antonov should have been completed long ago. Lets hope that the governments slowness doesn’t bring SAAB down.

From Reuters:

Antonov, who has said he has been the target of false allegations of money laundering and other financial crimes, was ousted from Spyker’s deal to buy Saab from General Motors in 2010. He has said investigations have cleared his name and that GM, which retained preference shares in Saab and is also a supplier, is now ready to let him back as a shareholder.

Specifically, the restrictions came from US and Swedish governments who were investigating Antonov, not General Motors. The Swedish government is reluctant to allow his investment, which would give him a 30% stake in Saab. Antonov’s fortune was created by acquiring, rebuilding, and selling Russian banks. He considers himself a corporate turnaround artist.

Saabs United is following the story. The Swedish government will hold a press conference later today.

More details:
http://www.nytimes.com/2011/04/08/business/global/08saab.html?pagewanted=2&_r=1&partner=rssnyt&emc=rss

Historical US Auto Market Share

In case you were wondering. I love bar graphs.

The source is unknown. It looks like it was scanned from a textbook or report. The data appear to be accurate based on what I know of Ford and GM’s historical market share.

Texas Allows 85 mph Speeds

The Texas House passed a bill that allows speed limits to be as high as 85 mph in certain areas. Texas is now the fastest state in the union.

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In the late 1990s, Montana earned the name “Montanabahn” after replacing daytime speed limits with a recommendation of “reasonable and prudent”, prompting visitors from around the country and the world to sample Montana’s high-speed interstates. Tickets were typically issued in Montana for speeds exceeding 100mph, and speed limits were valid and enforced at night.

In 2006 I flew to Los Angeles to buy a 1990 Infiniti Q45 and drove it home to St Louis. The first-generation Q, with its 280hp V8 and shark-nosed aerodynamics, was an outstanding high speed cruiser. I soared through west Texas and noticed that despite an 80mph speed limit, most passenger cars were safely traveling at 90-100mph during the daytime.

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I-40 through Texas is wide open, barren, and sparsely populated, with flat, wide, and well-maintained stretches of highway. Visibility is excellent thanks to clear skies and flat earth, and population density is low.

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Above: I-40, Texas

Compare that to Illinois, an equally rural state with flat, empty stretches of highway, where the speed limit is a paltry 65 mph with heavy enforcement.

Lower maximum speed limits make sense in congested areas like the northeast corridor or within city limits, but Illinois, outside of Chicagoland, is a bland, characterless expanse of corn and nothingness. I grew up there, so I know.

Meanwhile, Missouri and Indiana, which both neighbor Illinois, have speed limits as high as 70 mph.

See the National Motorist Association’s position on reasonable and realistic speed limits.

Interactive Map of State Speed Limits:
http://www.texastribune.org/library/data/us-speed-limits-map-by-state/

Texas Approves 85 MPH Speed Limit, The Fastest State In America:
http://www.autoguide.com/auto-news/2011/04/texas-approves-85-mph-speed-limit-the-fastest-state-in-america.html

Chevy Vegas packed nose-down in railroad cars for shipping

The Chevy Vega started a lasting trend at General Motors: Great ideas with poor execution.

GM sold millions of Vegas from 1970-1977, and most suffered from engine failures, fires, oil consumption, and poor build quality. The few that miraculously continued running were eventually dissolved in light drizzles — body integrity was a major weakness.

The rail cars used for vertical delivery were called “Vert-A-Pac,” stacking the cars with their noses pointed at the ground, 15 per side for a total of 30 vehicles per rail car. The Vega was the only automobile ever delivered this way.

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GM was so eager to build these cars and toss them out the door that paint sometimes had drip marks, screws were missing, and dealers were frequently burdened with the task of properly completing or redoing bumper and interior
assembly.

By the way, Atlas makes a Vert-A-Pac rail car for HO scale trains:

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Now you can relive the Carter/malaise era through the joy and wonder model railroading. You can even build little towns with gas stations that have cars lined up for several blocks desperately thirsting for fuel. Hooray for the OPEC oil embargo!

Quality reading:
Falling Star: The Checkered History of the Chevrolet Vega
–Former Vega owners shared their horror stories with US News.
Cosworth Vega History

Will a Costco or Sam’s Club membership save you money on gas?

Fun with numbers!

You may have seen signs outside of Sam’s Club advertising significantly lower fuel prices, sometimes more than 25 cents per gallon for premium, but you may be wondering if its worth the trouble of paying for membership. Well, I did the math for you.

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Here is the scenario:

Costco memberships start at $50 per year.
The average American driver puts 12,000 miles per year on a car.

Regular unleaded at the Shell station nearest to me is currently $3.69.
The nearest Costco is $3.59, or 10 cents less per gallon.

For premium unleaded, the Shell station is 3.96.
The nearest Costco is $3.79, or 17 cents less per gallon.

Costco 20 cents more for premium over regular while the Shell station charges 27 cents.

————————————————————————————————–

Let’s take a typical midsize sedan and run the numbers:

2010 Malibu I4 Auto – 26mpg combined
wpid-2010-Chevrolet-Malibu-Hybrid-2011-04-7-05-01.jpg
Regular unleaded gasoline
12,000 miles/year

$3.69 per gallon at Shell, 87 octane
Annual fuel cost: $1703.08

$3.59 per gallon at Costco, 87 octane
Annual fuel cost: $1656.92 + $50 membership = $1706.92

Annual Loss: $3.84 <—-

————————————————————————————————–

Now, let’s say you drive a more expensive car that requires premium unleaded:

2010 Cadillac DTS Performance V8 Auto – 18mpg combined
wpid-2010-Cadillac-DTS-2011-04-7-05-01.jpg
Premium unleaded gasoline
12,000 miles/year

$3.96 per gallon at Shell, 93 octane
Annual fuel cost: $2640.00

$3.79 per gallon at Costco, 93 octane
Annual fuel cost: $2526.67 + $50 membership = $2,576.67

Annual Savings: $63.33 <—-

————————————————————————————————–

Costco’s noticeably lower price jump for premium unleaded makes a noticeable difference, but $63 is hardly a deal. You would save more per year buy eating out less, and if you can afford a $50,000 Cadillac, you won’t sweat $63 in annual fuel costs.

This also assumes that you are not using your Costco membership to save on food, tires, eyewear, photo processing, insurance, clothes, furniture, dog food, or other essentials. My $50 membership fee pays for itself every year.

These figures also assume that you would fill up at Costco exclusively. Topping off your tank anywhere else would quickly eat into your $63 annual fuel savings.

Additionally, Sam’s and Costco’s pumps only accept debit cards, so you can forget about earning points or cash back for gas with your credit card.

CONCLUSION:
Don’t join Costco or Sam’s Club for the fuel discounts. If you have no intention of shopping there regularly, don’t bother. Think of the fuel discount as a perk for existing members rather than a reason for joining.

Fill up at the gas station that sells better coffee and don’t worry about the price.